Saturday, September 6, 2008
SEPT 6 SATURDAY
Zinc prices likely to slide further on over supply.
With sliding zinc prices taking their toll on miners , they can
be forgiven for aski8ng when the market will turn upwards
- not any time soon , according to market experts.
The industry has seen mine closures and outpiy cuts as
energy , labour and equipmnt cost rise while zinc
prices drop.
The metal mainly used to galvanise steel , is one of the
worst performers in the metal complex this year.
In August it dropped to its lowest level since November
2005 and is now trading around $ 1745 a tonne down almost
25 % this year.
Zinc stocks at the LME have jumped 80 % this year to
160000 tonnes.
However some market watchers still expect a shift to a
deficit in 2010 as production cut spending and smaller
companies which generally operate zinc lead mines
struggle to find financing for new projects and to
gain environmental approvals.
Analyst expect the price to average $ 2073 a tonne
this year , $ 1900 in 2009 and jump to $ 3100 in 2010.
Cash zinc prices are forecast to average $ 2133 a tonne
in 2008 and fall to $ 2000 in 2009.
Weaker demand will also slow the reecovery
of zinc prices.
Signs are that demand in china , the world's biggest
consumer of the metal is beginning to slow strongly
and that the debate is whether internal demand will
slow as export markets for China also weaken.Consumption
is also falling in Europe as economies slow down.
Zinc prices likely to slide further on over supply.
With sliding zinc prices taking their toll on miners , they can
be forgiven for aski8ng when the market will turn upwards
- not any time soon , according to market experts.
The industry has seen mine closures and outpiy cuts as
energy , labour and equipmnt cost rise while zinc
prices drop.
The metal mainly used to galvanise steel , is one of the
worst performers in the metal complex this year.
In August it dropped to its lowest level since November
2005 and is now trading around $ 1745 a tonne down almost
25 % this year.
Zinc stocks at the LME have jumped 80 % this year to
160000 tonnes.
However some market watchers still expect a shift to a
deficit in 2010 as production cut spending and smaller
companies which generally operate zinc lead mines
struggle to find financing for new projects and to
gain environmental approvals.
Analyst expect the price to average $ 2073 a tonne
this year , $ 1900 in 2009 and jump to $ 3100 in 2010.
Cash zinc prices are forecast to average $ 2133 a tonne
in 2008 and fall to $ 2000 in 2009.
Weaker demand will also slow the reecovery
of zinc prices.
Signs are that demand in china , the world's biggest
consumer of the metal is beginning to slow strongly
and that the debate is whether internal demand will
slow as export markets for China also weaken.Consumption
is also falling in Europe as economies slow down.
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