Tuesday, September 30, 2008
UPDATES ON SEPT 30 2008
SEPT 30 TUESDAY
SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 78.60 , S2 RS 77.30
R1 RS 80.60 , R2 RS 82.20
STAY SHORT AT RESISTENCE
Three-month zinc closed at $1,693 a tonne, down $77..
Industrial metals ran intoadditional liquidation in
after-hours trade on Monday after a proposed $700
billion financial rescue package was rejected by U.S
lawmakers.
SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 78.60 , S2 RS 77.30
R1 RS 80.60 , R2 RS 82.20
STAY SHORT AT RESISTENCE
Three-month zinc closed at $1,693 a tonne, down $77..
Industrial metals ran intoadditional liquidation in
after-hours trade on Monday after a proposed $700
billion financial rescue package was rejected by U.S
lawmakers.
Monday, September 29, 2008
UPDATES ON SEPT 29 2008
SEPT 29 MONDAY
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 81.60 , S2 RS 80.30
R1 RS 83.80 , R2 RS 85.20
There is further downside to Zinc prices.
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 81.60 , S2 RS 80.30
R1 RS 83.80 , R2 RS 85.20
There is further downside to Zinc prices.
Saturday, September 27, 2008
UPDATE
UPDATE FOR 26 SEPTEMBER
Zinc was at $1,770, down from $1,800, and nickel
ended lowerat $17,000, from the last quote on
Thursday at $17,075/17,100.
Zinc was at $1,770, down from $1,800, and nickel
ended lowerat $17,000, from the last quote on
Thursday at $17,075/17,100.
Friday, September 26, 2008
UPDATES ON SEPT 26 2008
SEPT 26 FRIDAY
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 81.20 , S2 RS 79.70
R1 RS 83.40 , R2 RS 84.80
WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION.
Zinc was down $ 16 to $ 1774 / MT .
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 81.20 , S2 RS 79.70
R1 RS 83.40 , R2 RS 84.80
WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION.
Zinc was down $ 16 to $ 1774 / MT .
Thursday, September 25, 2008
UPDATES ON SEPT 25 2008
SEPT 25 THURSDAY
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 314 , S2 RS 311
R1 RS 318.50 , R2 RS 323
WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION.
Zinc closed $20 firmer at $1,790.
Zinc has support at $ 1700 and Resistence at $ 1900.
zinc is still in a range of $ 1700 to $ 1900 range.
Zinc is still affected in a bullish manner by the other
base metals and notmoving forward fully on its
own strength.
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 314 , S2 RS 311
R1 RS 318.50 , R2 RS 323
WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION.
Zinc closed $20 firmer at $1,790.
Zinc has support at $ 1700 and Resistence at $ 1900.
zinc is still in a range of $ 1700 to $ 1900 range.
Zinc is still affected in a bullish manner by the other
base metals and notmoving forward fully on its
own strength.
Wednesday, September 24, 2008
UPDATES ON SEPT 24 2008
SEPT 24 WEDNESDAY
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 79.40 S2 RS 77.80
R1 RS 82.30 , R2 RS 84
WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION.
Zinc dropped $70 to $1,770, after hitting a one-week high of
$1,850 in earlier trade.
It was knocked down in early trade.
Prices have nearly fallen 60 % from their highs.
Analyst feel from now on the down side may be
limited .The recent output cut announcements
suggest that the prices are near Zinc's marginal
cost of production.
Zinc has support $ 1700 and resistence at $ 1900.
The LME stocks are still high and it has to depend
on the copper rally to inch higher and will find
it difficult to move higher on its own.
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 79.40 S2 RS 77.80
R1 RS 82.30 , R2 RS 84
WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION.
Zinc dropped $70 to $1,770, after hitting a one-week high of
$1,850 in earlier trade.
It was knocked down in early trade.
Prices have nearly fallen 60 % from their highs.
Analyst feel from now on the down side may be
limited .The recent output cut announcements
suggest that the prices are near Zinc's marginal
cost of production.
Zinc has support $ 1700 and resistence at $ 1900.
The LME stocks are still high and it has to depend
on the copper rally to inch higher and will find
it difficult to move higher on its own.
Tuesday, September 23, 2008
UPDATES ON SEPT 23 2008
SEPT 23 TUESDAY
SHRT TERM TREND : BULLISH
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 82.30 , S2 RS 81.20
R1 RS 84 , R2 RS 86.40
TRADING CALL
BUY AT 82.30 TO 82.20
STOP LOSS RS 81.20
TARGET RS 84
Zinc closed up $82 at $1,840 from Friday, after hitting a
one-week high of $1,844.
Zinc support is at $ 1700 and resistence is at $ 1750.
Zinc is at $ 1835 , up $ 56 , but seems to be finding
support at $ 1700.It did not break down to test the
recent lows as copper did last week.It looks like it is
in consolidation phase.A spate of production cuts which
were announced are also helping the metal to stabilize.
SHRT TERM TREND : BULLISH
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 82.30 , S2 RS 81.20
R1 RS 84 , R2 RS 86.40
TRADING CALL
BUY AT 82.30 TO 82.20
STOP LOSS RS 81.20
TARGET RS 84
Zinc closed up $82 at $1,840 from Friday, after hitting a
one-week high of $1,844.
Zinc support is at $ 1700 and resistence is at $ 1750.
Zinc is at $ 1835 , up $ 56 , but seems to be finding
support at $ 1700.It did not break down to test the
recent lows as copper did last week.It looks like it is
in consolidation phase.A spate of production cuts which
were announced are also helping the metal to stabilize.
Monday, September 22, 2008
UPDATES ON SEPT 22 2008
SEPT 22 MONDAY
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND ; BEARISH
S1 RS 79 , S2 RS 77
R1 RS 81.60 , R2 RS 83
WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION.
Zinc market may have a further downside given
weak Chinese demad.
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND ; BEARISH
S1 RS 79 , S2 RS 77
R1 RS 81.60 , R2 RS 83
WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION.
Zinc market may have a further downside given
weak Chinese demad.
Friday, September 19, 2008
UPDATES ON SEPT 19 2008
SEPT 19 FRIDAY
SHORT TERM TREND :SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 79 , S2 RS 77
R1 RS 81.60 , R2 RS 83
WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION.
Zinc gained $5, or 0.3 percent, to $1,725.
SHORT TERM TREND :SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 79 , S2 RS 77
R1 RS 81.60 , R2 RS 83
WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION.
Zinc gained $5, or 0.3 percent, to $1,725.
Thursday, September 18, 2008
UPDATES ON SEPT 18 2008
SEPT 18 THURSDAY
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 78 S2 RS 76
R1 RS 80.60 , R2 RS 83.
WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION.
The Base metal market stabilised in London Metal
Exchange pre market trade Tuesday after 2 days
of turmoil in the world financial markets.
Zinc was off $ 13 at $ 1715 /mt.
Zinc prices are likely to fall further as market
surplus widens.
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 78 S2 RS 76
R1 RS 80.60 , R2 RS 83.
WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION.
The Base metal market stabilised in London Metal
Exchange pre market trade Tuesday after 2 days
of turmoil in the world financial markets.
Zinc was off $ 13 at $ 1715 /mt.
Zinc prices are likely to fall further as market
surplus widens.
China's zinc smelters, the largest in the world, may get paid
14 percent less next year to process metal as they compete for
shrinking raw material supplies.
Wednesday, September 17, 2008
TECHNICALS
TECHNICAL LEVELS FOR SEPTEMBER 17
ZINC MCX SEPTEMBER
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
SUPPORTS : S1 - RS.79.60, S2 - RS. 78
RESISTANCES : R1 - RS.82, R2 - RS.84
WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION
ZINC MCX SEPTEMBER
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
SUPPORTS : S1 - RS.79.60, S2 - RS. 78
RESISTANCES : R1 - RS.82, R2 - RS.84
WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION
Tuesday, September 16, 2008
UPDATES ON SEPT 16 2008
SEPT 16 TUESDAY
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 80.20 , S2 RS 78.60
R1 RS 82.60 , R2 RS 84.
Zinc slipped 1 percent to $1,745.
Base metal prices were down across the board during
London Metal Exchange pre market trade Monday
as as markets digested news of 2 US Financial giants
with Lehman Brothers filing for bankruptcy and
Bank Of America agreeing to buy Merrill lynch.
Zinc is at $ 1750 .Analyst are waiting to see if
$ 1750 support gives way on a two day closing
basis and if so a test of $ 1600 lows could be next.
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 80.20 , S2 RS 78.60
R1 RS 82.60 , R2 RS 84.
Zinc slipped 1 percent to $1,745.
Base metal prices were down across the board during
London Metal Exchange pre market trade Monday
as as markets digested news of 2 US Financial giants
with Lehman Brothers filing for bankruptcy and
Bank Of America agreeing to buy Merrill lynch.
Zinc is at $ 1750 .Analyst are waiting to see if
$ 1750 support gives way on a two day closing
basis and if so a test of $ 1600 lows could be next.
Monday, September 15, 2008
TECHNICALS
TECHNICAL LEVELS FOR 15 SEPTEMBER
ZINC MCX SEPTEMBER
SHORT TERM TREND : BULLISH
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
SUPPORTS : S1 - RS.85.3, S2 - RS.83.60
RESISTANCES ; R1 - RS. 88.20 , R2 - RS. 90.00
STAY LONG.
ZINC MCX SEPTEMBER
SHORT TERM TREND : BULLISH
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
SUPPORTS : S1 - RS.85.3, S2 - RS.83.60
RESISTANCES ; R1 - RS. 88.20 , R2 - RS. 90.00
STAY LONG.
Saturday, September 13, 2008
PRICE UPDATE
PRICE UPDATE AT LME ON FRIDAY, 12 SEPTEMBER
On Friday, at LME zinc traded at $ 1835, up from $1794
on thursday.
On Friday, at LME zinc traded at $ 1835, up from $1794
on thursday.
Friday, September 12, 2008
UPDATES ON SEPT 12 2008
SEPT 12 FRIDAY
MCX ZINC SEPTEMBER
Zinc dropped $ 27 to $ 1750.
Support is at $ 1750 and Resistence is at $ 1950.
The $ 1750 support has still not given away on a two
day closing basis .
MCX ZINC SEPTEMBER
SHORT TERM TREND - BULLISH
LONGTERM TREND - BEARISH
SUPPORT 1- 80.10, SUPPORT 2 -78.60
RESISTANCE 1 - 82.4,RESISTANCE 2 - 84.3
STAY LONG
Zinc dropped $ 27 to $ 1750.
Support is at $ 1750 and Resistence is at $ 1950.
The $ 1750 support has still not given away on a two
day closing basis .
Wednesday, September 10, 2008
UPDATES ON SEPT 10 2008
SEPT 10 WEDNESDAY
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 77 , S2 RS 75.60
R1 RS 79, R2 RS 81.80
WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION.
Zinc touched a low of $ 1715 earlier - the lowest
since Aug 20 before trading at $ 1727 down
$ 43.
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 77 , S2 RS 75.60
R1 RS 79, R2 RS 81.80
WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION.
Zinc touched a low of $ 1715 earlier - the lowest
since Aug 20 before trading at $ 1727 down
$ 43.
Tuesday, September 9, 2008
UPDATES ON SEPT 9 2008
SEPT 9 TUESDAY
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND: BEARISH
S1 RS 77.20 , S2 RS 75.60
R1 RS 79.40 , R2 RS 80.70
WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION.
Zinc is at $ 1762 up $ 12 .
Prices are firmly within a downward trend.
For the time being it seems that $ 1750 support is
holding , but a break below this level could result in a
sharper sell off to the recent low of $ 1600.
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND: BEARISH
S1 RS 77.20 , S2 RS 75.60
R1 RS 79.40 , R2 RS 80.70
WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION.
Zinc is at $ 1762 up $ 12 .
Prices are firmly within a downward trend.
For the time being it seems that $ 1750 support is
holding , but a break below this level could result in a
sharper sell off to the recent low of $ 1600.
Saturday, September 6, 2008
SEPT 6 SATURDAY
Zinc prices likely to slide further on over supply.
With sliding zinc prices taking their toll on miners , they can
be forgiven for aski8ng when the market will turn upwards
- not any time soon , according to market experts.
The industry has seen mine closures and outpiy cuts as
energy , labour and equipmnt cost rise while zinc
prices drop.
The metal mainly used to galvanise steel , is one of the
worst performers in the metal complex this year.
In August it dropped to its lowest level since November
2005 and is now trading around $ 1745 a tonne down almost
25 % this year.
Zinc stocks at the LME have jumped 80 % this year to
160000 tonnes.
However some market watchers still expect a shift to a
deficit in 2010 as production cut spending and smaller
companies which generally operate zinc lead mines
struggle to find financing for new projects and to
gain environmental approvals.
Analyst expect the price to average $ 2073 a tonne
this year , $ 1900 in 2009 and jump to $ 3100 in 2010.
Cash zinc prices are forecast to average $ 2133 a tonne
in 2008 and fall to $ 2000 in 2009.
Weaker demand will also slow the reecovery
of zinc prices.
Signs are that demand in china , the world's biggest
consumer of the metal is beginning to slow strongly
and that the debate is whether internal demand will
slow as export markets for China also weaken.Consumption
is also falling in Europe as economies slow down.
Zinc prices likely to slide further on over supply.
With sliding zinc prices taking their toll on miners , they can
be forgiven for aski8ng when the market will turn upwards
- not any time soon , according to market experts.
The industry has seen mine closures and outpiy cuts as
energy , labour and equipmnt cost rise while zinc
prices drop.
The metal mainly used to galvanise steel , is one of the
worst performers in the metal complex this year.
In August it dropped to its lowest level since November
2005 and is now trading around $ 1745 a tonne down almost
25 % this year.
Zinc stocks at the LME have jumped 80 % this year to
160000 tonnes.
However some market watchers still expect a shift to a
deficit in 2010 as production cut spending and smaller
companies which generally operate zinc lead mines
struggle to find financing for new projects and to
gain environmental approvals.
Analyst expect the price to average $ 2073 a tonne
this year , $ 1900 in 2009 and jump to $ 3100 in 2010.
Cash zinc prices are forecast to average $ 2133 a tonne
in 2008 and fall to $ 2000 in 2009.
Weaker demand will also slow the reecovery
of zinc prices.
Signs are that demand in china , the world's biggest
consumer of the metal is beginning to slow strongly
and that the debate is whether internal demand will
slow as export markets for China also weaken.Consumption
is also falling in Europe as economies slow down.
Friday, September 5, 2008
UPDATES ON SEPT 5 2008
SEPT 5 FRIDAY
last quote of $ 1787 /1788.
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 78.60 , S2 RS 77
R1 RS 81.60 , R2 RS 83
WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION.
last quote of $ 1787 /1788.
Thursday, September 4, 2008
UPDATES ON SEPT 4 2008
SEPT 4 THURSDAY
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 78.60 , S2 RS 77.20
R1 RS 80.60 , R2 RS 82.30
WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION.
Zinc is expected to trade in the range of
Rs 78.50 to Rs 80.60 respectively.
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 78.60 , S2 RS 77.20
R1 RS 80.60 , R2 RS 82.30
WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION.
Zinc is expected to trade in the range of
Rs 78.50 to Rs 80.60 respectively.
Wednesday, September 3, 2008
UPDATES ON SEPT 3 2008
SEPT 3 WEDNESDAY
LME zinc closed at $1,775 per tonne against $1,775/1,780
on Monday, when the metal, mainly used to galvanize steel,
eased 2.3 percent. It hit a low earlier in the day of $1,720,
its lowest price since August 20.
Investment bank Citi revised its copper, aluminum and
zinc price forecasts downwards on the back of expectations
of continued slowdown in global economic growth.
Citi forecast zinc prices to bottom at $70 per pound
($1,543 per tonne) in 2009.
LME zinc closed at $1,775 per tonne against $1,775/1,780
on Monday, when the metal, mainly used to galvanize steel,
eased 2.3 percent. It hit a low earlier in the day of $1,720,
its lowest price since August 20.
Investment bank Citi revised its copper, aluminum and
zinc price forecasts downwards on the back of expectations
of continued slowdown in global economic growth.
Citi forecast zinc prices to bottom at $70 per pound
($1,543 per tonne) in 2009.
Tuesday, September 2, 2008
UPDATES ON SEPT 2 2008
SEPT 2 TUESDAY
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 78 , S2 RS 76.30
R1 RS 80.60 , R2 RS 82.30
SELL AT RS 79.40 TO 79.50
STOP LOSS RS 80.70
TARGET RS 77
Zinc eased but Hurricane Gustav was seen as a potential
threat to LME warehouses, analysts said.
The stronger dollar is pulling commodities lower.
Volumes were low with the U.S. market shut for Labor Day.
Zinc has risen more than 10 percent since dipping to a 33-
month low in mid-August, but the metal mainly used to
galvanize steel is down by about 25 percent this year.
With almost 40 percent, or 61,000 tonnes, of world LME
zinc stocks in New Orleans, some traders feared a repeat of
Hurricane Katrina in September 2005, which cut off access
to about one-half of the available LME stock of zinc for months.
This location could trigger some short-covering if the LME
warehouses are flooded.
When Katrina struck, LME zinc was trading between $1,300 and
$1,400 a tonne. It doubled in price by May 2006.
Zinc was last quoted at $1,775/1,780 a tonne from $1,811 a tonne.
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 78 , S2 RS 76.30
R1 RS 80.60 , R2 RS 82.30
SELL AT RS 79.40 TO 79.50
STOP LOSS RS 80.70
TARGET RS 77
Zinc eased but Hurricane Gustav was seen as a potential
threat to LME warehouses, analysts said.
The stronger dollar is pulling commodities lower.
Volumes were low with the U.S. market shut for Labor Day.
Zinc has risen more than 10 percent since dipping to a 33-
month low in mid-August, but the metal mainly used to
galvanize steel is down by about 25 percent this year.
With almost 40 percent, or 61,000 tonnes, of world LME
zinc stocks in New Orleans, some traders feared a repeat of
Hurricane Katrina in September 2005, which cut off access
to about one-half of the available LME stock of zinc for months.
This location could trigger some short-covering if the LME
warehouses are flooded.
When Katrina struck, LME zinc was trading between $1,300 and
$1,400 a tonne. It doubled in price by May 2006.
Zinc was last quoted at $1,775/1,780 a tonne from $1,811 a tonne.
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